diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/api/alerts.ts b/frontend-modern/src/api/alerts.ts
index fc4c5426b..ceb15a98b 100644
--- a/frontend-modern/src/api/alerts.ts
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/api/alerts.ts
@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
-import type { Alert, Incident } from '@/types/api';
+import type { Alert, AlertDeliveryDiagnosis, Incident } from '@/types/api';
 import type { AlertConfig } from '@/types/alerts';
 import { apiFetchJSON } from '@/utils/apiClient';
 import { arrayOrEmpty } from './responseUtils';
@@ -30,6 +30,13 @@ export class AlertsAPI {
     return apiFetchJSON(`${this.baseUrl}/history?${queryParams}`);
   }
 
+  static async getDeliveryDiagnoses(): Promise<AlertDeliveryDiagnosis[]> {
+    const diagnoses = (await apiFetchJSON(
+      `${this.baseUrl}/delivery-diagnosis`,
+    )) as AlertDeliveryDiagnosis[];
+    return arrayOrEmpty<AlertDeliveryDiagnosis>(diagnoses);
+  }
+
   static async getIncidentTimeline(
     alertIdentifier: string,
     startedAt?: string,
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/AlertOverviewAlertCard.tsx b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/AlertOverviewAlertCard.tsx
index 6b513f4bc..3d7575c5e 100644
--- a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/AlertOverviewAlertCard.tsx
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/AlertOverviewAlertCard.tsx
@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ import {
 } from '@/utils/alertOverviewPresentation';
 
 import { alertTypeDisplayLabel } from './helpers';
+import { describeAlertDeliveryStatus } from './deliveryDiagnosisPresentation';
 import { getCanonicalAlertId } from './identity';
 import type { AlertIncidentTimelineState } from './useAlertIncidentTimelineState';
 import type { AlertOverviewState } from './useAlertOverviewState';
@@ -38,6 +39,10 @@ export function AlertOverviewAlertCard(props: AlertOverviewAlertCardProps) {
       props.state.processingAlerts().has(alertKey()),
     );
 
+  const deliveryDiagnosis = () => props.state.deliveryDiagnoses()[alertKey()];
+  const deliveryStatusLine = () =>
+    describeAlertDeliveryStatus(deliveryDiagnosis(), props.alert.acknowledged);
+
   const resourceLink = (): string => {
     const rid = props.alert.resourceId ?? '';
     const resourceType =
@@ -153,6 +158,18 @@ export function AlertOverviewAlertCard(props: AlertOverviewAlertCardProps) {
                     : '%'}
                 </span>
               </Show>
+              <Show when={deliveryStatusLine()}>
+                <span
+                  class={
+                    deliveryStatusLine()?.tone === 'attention'
+                      ? 'text-xs text-amber-600 dark:text-amber-400'
+                      : 'text-xs text-muted'
+                  }
+                  title={deliveryDiagnosis()?.message}
+                >
+                  {deliveryStatusLine()?.label}
+                </span>
+              </Show>
             </div>
           </div>
         </div>
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/OverviewTab.deliverystatus.test.tsx b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/OverviewTab.deliverystatus.test.tsx
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..995a149a4
--- /dev/null
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/OverviewTab.deliverystatus.test.tsx
@@ -0,0 +1,126 @@
+import { afterEach, beforeEach, describe, expect, it, vi } from 'vitest';
+import { cleanup, render, screen, waitFor } from '@solidjs/testing-library';
+import { DEFAULT_LOCALE, setActiveLocale } from '@/i18n';
+import type { Alert, AlertDeliveryDiagnosis } from '@/types/api';
+
+vi.mock('@solidjs/router', () => ({
+  useLocation: () => ({ hash: '', pathname: '/alerts', search: '', query: {} }),
+  A: (props: Record<string, unknown>) => props.children,
+}));
+
+const getDeliveryDiagnoses = vi.fn<() => Promise<AlertDeliveryDiagnosis[]>>();
+
+vi.mock('@/api/alerts', () => ({
+  AlertsAPI: {
+    get getDeliveryDiagnoses() {
+      return getDeliveryDiagnoses;
+    },
+  },
+}));
+
+vi.mock('@/stores/notifications', () => ({
+  notificationStore: { success: vi.fn(), error: vi.fn() },
+}));
+
+vi.mock('@/utils/logger', () => ({
+  logger: { error: vi.fn() },
+}));
+
+vi.mock('@/components/Alerts/InvestigateAlertButton', () => ({
+  InvestigateAlertButton: () => null,
+}));
+
+import { OverviewTab } from '../OverviewTab';
+
+function makeAlert(id: string, ack = false): Alert {
+  return {
+    id,
+    resourceId: `vm-${id}`,
+    resourceName: `VM ${id}`,
+    type: 'cpu',
+    level: 'warning',
+    message: `High CPU on VM ${id}`,
+    startTime: new Date().toISOString(),
+    acknowledged: ack,
+    node: 'node1',
+  } as Alert;
+}
+
+function makeDiagnosis(
+  id: string,
+  overrides: Partial<AlertDeliveryDiagnosis>,
+): AlertDeliveryDiagnosis {
+  return {
+    alertIdentifier: id,
+    alertId: id,
+    trackingKey: `vm-${id}/cpu`,
+    status: 'would_send',
+    reason: 'ready',
+    message: 'Alert delivery is currently eligible for notification delivery.',
+    alertType: 'cpu',
+    level: 'warning',
+    notificationsEnabled: true,
+    activationState: 'active',
+    cooldownMinutes: 5,
+    maxAlertsHour: 10,
+    recentAlertsInHour: 0,
+    flappingActive: false,
+    flappingHistoryInWindow: 0,
+    flappingThreshold: 5,
+    flappingWindowSeconds: 300,
+    ...overrides,
+  };
+}
+
+function defaultProps(overrides: Record<string, unknown> = {}) {
+  return {
+    overrides: [] as never[],
+    activeAlerts: {} as Record<string, Alert>,
+    updateAlert: vi.fn(),
+    showQuickTip: () => false,
+    dismissQuickTip: vi.fn(),
+    showAcknowledged: () => true,
+    setShowAcknowledged: vi.fn(),
+    alertsDisabled: () => false,
+    ...overrides,
+  };
+}
+
+describe('OverviewTab delivery status line', () => {
+  beforeEach(() => {
+    setActiveLocale(DEFAULT_LOCALE);
+    getDeliveryDiagnoses.mockReset();
+  });
+
+  afterEach(() => {
+    cleanup();
+    setActiveLocale(DEFAULT_LOCALE);
+  });
+
+  it('renders held-notification status from the bulk diagnosis endpoint', async () => {
+    const activeAlerts: Record<string, Alert> = { a1: makeAlert('a1') };
+    getDeliveryDiagnoses.mockResolvedValue([
+      makeDiagnosis('a1', { status: 'suppressed', reason: 'notifications_disabled' }),
+    ]);
+
+    render(() => <OverviewTab {...defaultProps({ activeAlerts })} />);
+
+    await waitFor(() => {
+      expect(screen.getByText('Notifications are turned off')).toBeTruthy();
+    });
+    expect(getDeliveryDiagnoses).toHaveBeenCalled();
+  });
+
+  it('renders no delivery line when the diagnosis fetch fails', async () => {
+    const activeAlerts: Record<string, Alert> = { a1: makeAlert('a1') };
+    getDeliveryDiagnoses.mockRejectedValue(new Error('boom'));
+
+    render(() => <OverviewTab {...defaultProps({ activeAlerts })} />);
+
+    await waitFor(() => {
+      expect(getDeliveryDiagnoses).toHaveBeenCalled();
+    });
+    expect(screen.queryByText('Notifications are turned off')).toBeNull();
+    expect(screen.getByText('High CPU on VM a1')).toBeTruthy();
+  });
+});
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.test.ts b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.test.ts
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..ecc7be09c
--- /dev/null
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/__tests__/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.test.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest';
+
+import type { AlertDeliveryDiagnosis } from '@/types/api';
+
+import { describeAlertDeliveryStatus } from '../deliveryDiagnosisPresentation';
+
+const baseDiagnosis = (overrides: Partial<AlertDeliveryDiagnosis>): AlertDeliveryDiagnosis => ({
+  alertIdentifier: 'a1',
+  alertId: 'a1',
+  trackingKey: 'node/a1/cpu',
+  status: 'would_send',
+  reason: 'ready',
+  message: 'Alert delivery is currently eligible for notification delivery.',
+  alertType: 'cpu',
+  level: 'warning',
+  notificationsEnabled: true,
+  activationState: 'active',
+  cooldownMinutes: 5,
+  maxAlertsHour: 10,
+  recentAlertsInHour: 0,
+  flappingActive: false,
+  flappingHistoryInWindow: 0,
+  flappingThreshold: 5,
+  flappingWindowSeconds: 300,
+  ...overrides,
+});
+
+describe('describeAlertDeliveryStatus', () => {
+  it('returns null without a diagnosis', () => {
+    expect(describeAlertDeliveryStatus(undefined, false)).toBeNull();
+  });
+
+  it('returns null for acknowledged alerts regardless of status', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({ status: 'suppressed', reason: 'cooldown' });
+    expect(describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, true)).toBeNull();
+  });
+
+  it('shows the notified time when eligible and already notified', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({ lastNotified: '2026-08-26T10:15:00Z' });
+    const line = describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false);
+    expect(line?.tone).toBe('muted');
+    expect(line?.label).toMatch(/^Notified /);
+  });
+
+  it('shows pending when eligible but never notified', () => {
+    const line = describeAlertDeliveryStatus(baseDiagnosis({}), false);
+    expect(line).toEqual({ label: 'Notification pending', tone: 'muted' });
+  });
+
+  it('shows quiet hours with the replay time for deferred alerts', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({
+      status: 'deferred',
+      reason: 'quiet_hours:performance',
+      quietHoursReplayAt: '2026-08-27T07:00:00Z',
+    });
+    const line = describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false);
+    expect(line?.tone).toBe('muted');
+    expect(line?.label).toMatch(/^Quiet hours — notifies /);
+  });
+
+  it('treats cooldown as healthy and shows the next eligible time', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({
+      status: 'suppressed',
+      reason: 'cooldown',
+      lastNotified: '2026-08-26T10:15:00Z',
+      nextEligibleAt: '2026-08-26T10:20:00Z',
+    });
+    const line = describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false);
+    expect(line?.tone).toBe('muted');
+    expect(line?.label).toMatch(/^Notified .* — next /);
+  });
+
+  it.each([
+    ['rate_limited', 'Hourly notification limit reached'],
+    ['flapping', 'Flapping — notifications paused'],
+    ['notifications_disabled', 'Notifications are turned off'],
+    ['notifications_inactive', 'Notification delivery not turned on'],
+  ] as const)('marks %s with the attention tone', (reason, label) => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({ status: 'suppressed', reason });
+    expect(describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false)).toEqual({ label, tone: 'attention' });
+  });
+
+  it('shows the pause end time for suppression windows', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({
+      status: 'suppressed',
+      reason: 'suppression_window',
+      suppressedUntil: '2026-08-26T11:00:00Z',
+    });
+    const line = describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false);
+    expect(line?.tone).toBe('attention');
+    expect(line?.label).toMatch(/^Notifications paused until /);
+  });
+
+  it('stays silent on unknown reasons', () => {
+    const diagnosis = baseDiagnosis({ status: 'suppressed', reason: 'future_reason' });
+    expect(describeAlertDeliveryStatus(diagnosis, false)).toBeNull();
+  });
+});
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.ts b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.ts
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..3df8f6365
--- /dev/null
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/deliveryDiagnosisPresentation.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,75 @@
+import type { AlertDeliveryDiagnosis } from '@/types/api';
+
+export interface AlertDeliveryStatusLine {
+  label: string;
+  // 'attention' marks held notifications the user may not expect; 'muted'
+  // marks healthy or user-chosen states.
+  tone: 'muted' | 'attention';
+}
+
+const formatShortTime = (value?: string): string | null => {
+  if (!value) return null;
+  const parsed = new Date(value);
+  if (Number.isNaN(parsed.getTime())) return null;
+  return parsed.toLocaleTimeString([], { hour: '2-digit', minute: '2-digit' });
+};
+
+// describeAlertDeliveryStatus turns a delivery diagnosis into the one-line
+// notification status shown on the alert card. Returns null when the card
+// should show no line (acknowledged alerts already carry a badge, and an
+// unknown reason is better silent than wrong).
+export const describeAlertDeliveryStatus = (
+  diagnosis: AlertDeliveryDiagnosis | undefined,
+  acknowledged: boolean,
+): AlertDeliveryStatusLine | null => {
+  if (!diagnosis || acknowledged) return null;
+
+  const reason = (diagnosis.reason || '').split(':')[0];
+
+  if (diagnosis.status === 'would_send') {
+    const notifiedAt = formatShortTime(diagnosis.lastNotified);
+    if (notifiedAt) return { label: `Notified ${notifiedAt}`, tone: 'muted' };
+    return { label: 'Notification pending', tone: 'muted' };
+  }
+
+  if (diagnosis.status === 'deferred') {
+    const replayAt = formatShortTime(diagnosis.quietHoursReplayAt);
+    return {
+      label: replayAt ? `Quiet hours — notifies ${replayAt}` : 'Quiet hours — notifies later',
+      tone: 'muted',
+    };
+  }
+
+  switch (reason) {
+    case 'acknowledged':
+      return null;
+    case 'cooldown': {
+      const notifiedAt = formatShortTime(diagnosis.lastNotified);
+      const nextAt = formatShortTime(diagnosis.nextEligibleAt);
+      if (notifiedAt && nextAt) {
+        return { label: `Notified ${notifiedAt} — next ${nextAt}`, tone: 'muted' };
+      }
+      if (notifiedAt) return { label: `Notified ${notifiedAt}`, tone: 'muted' };
+      return { label: 'Waiting for cooldown', tone: 'muted' };
+    }
+    case 'rate_limited':
+      return { label: 'Hourly notification limit reached', tone: 'attention' };
+    case 'flapping':
+      return { label: 'Flapping — notifications paused', tone: 'attention' };
+    case 'suppression_window': {
+      const until = formatShortTime(diagnosis.suppressedUntil);
+      return {
+        label: until ? `Notifications paused until ${until}` : 'Notifications paused',
+        tone: 'attention',
+      };
+    }
+    case 'notifications_disabled':
+      return { label: 'Notifications are turned off', tone: 'attention' };
+    case 'notifications_inactive':
+      return { label: 'Notification delivery not turned on', tone: 'attention' };
+    case 'monitor_only':
+      return { label: 'Monitor-only — no notifications', tone: 'muted' };
+    default:
+      return null;
+  }
+};
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/useAlertOverviewState.ts b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/useAlertOverviewState.ts
index 32465f160..39119ab38 100644
--- a/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/useAlertOverviewState.ts
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/features/alerts/useAlertOverviewState.ts
@@ -1,7 +1,8 @@
-import { createMemo, createSignal, onCleanup } from 'solid-js';
+import { createEffect, createMemo, createSignal, onCleanup } from 'solid-js';
 import type { Accessor } from 'solid-js';
 
-import type { Alert } from '@/types/api';
+import { AlertsAPI } from '@/api/alerts';
+import type { Alert, AlertDeliveryDiagnosis } from '@/types/api';
 import type { Override } from './types';
 import { useAlertAcknowledgementState } from './useAlertAcknowledgementState';
 
@@ -49,6 +50,47 @@ export function useAlertOverviewState(props: UseAlertOverviewStateProps) {
     clearInterval(tickInterval);
   });
 
+  // Delivery diagnoses answer "did/will this alert notify?" per card. One
+  // bulk request covers every active alert; a failed refresh keeps the last
+  // snapshot and the card simply shows no delivery line for unknown alerts.
+  const [deliveryDiagnoses, setDeliveryDiagnoses] = createSignal<
+    Record<string, AlertDeliveryDiagnosis>
+  >({});
+  let diagnosisStateDisposed = false;
+  onCleanup(() => {
+    diagnosisStateDisposed = true;
+  });
+  const refreshDeliveryDiagnoses = async () => {
+    if (activeAlerts().length === 0) {
+      setDeliveryDiagnoses({});
+      return;
+    }
+    try {
+      const list = await AlertsAPI.getDeliveryDiagnoses();
+      if (diagnosisStateDisposed) return;
+      const next: Record<string, AlertDeliveryDiagnosis> = {};
+      for (const diagnosis of list) {
+        next[diagnosis.alertIdentifier || diagnosis.alertId] = diagnosis;
+      }
+      setDeliveryDiagnoses(next);
+    } catch {
+      // Silent degrade: no diagnosis, no delivery line.
+    }
+  };
+  const activeAlertIdsKey = createMemo(() =>
+    activeAlerts()
+      .map((alert) => alert.id)
+      .sort()
+      .join('\n'),
+  );
+  createEffect(() => {
+    // Refresh when the active alert set changes and on the shared minute
+    // tick, so time-based holds (cooldown, quiet hours) stay current.
+    activeAlertIdsKey();
+    tick();
+    void refreshDeliveryDiagnoses();
+  });
+
   const alertStats = createMemo(() => {
     const alerts = effectiveAlerts();
     const recent = alerts.filter((alert) => {
@@ -108,6 +150,8 @@ export function useAlertOverviewState(props: UseAlertOverviewStateProps) {
     unacknowledgedAlerts,
     processingAlerts,
     bulkAckProcessing,
+    deliveryDiagnoses,
+    refreshDeliveryDiagnoses,
     handleAlertAcknowledgement,
     handleBulkAcknowledge,
     handleGroupAcknowledge,
diff --git a/frontend-modern/src/types/api.ts b/frontend-modern/src/types/api.ts
index e057f0f6c..7f2a8c6e9 100644
--- a/frontend-modern/src/types/api.ts
+++ b/frontend-modern/src/types/api.ts
@@ -1328,6 +1328,35 @@ export interface ResolvedAlert extends Alert {
   resolvedTime: string;
 }
 
+// Read-only projection of notification delivery policy for one active alert,
+// from GET /api/alerts/delivery-diagnosis.
+export interface AlertDeliveryDiagnosis {
+  alertIdentifier: string;
+  alertId: string;
+  trackingKey: string;
+  status: 'would_send' | 'deferred' | 'suppressed';
+  reason: string;
+  message: string;
+  alertType: string;
+  level: 'warning' | 'critical';
+  resourceId?: string;
+  resourceName?: string;
+  node?: string;
+  notificationsEnabled: boolean;
+  activationState: string;
+  cooldownMinutes: number;
+  maxAlertsHour: number;
+  recentAlertsInHour: number;
+  flappingActive: boolean;
+  flappingHistoryInWindow: number;
+  flappingThreshold: number;
+  flappingWindowSeconds: number;
+  lastNotified?: string;
+  nextEligibleAt?: string;
+  quietHoursReplayAt?: string;
+  suppressedUntil?: string;
+}
+
 export interface IncidentEvent {
   id: string;
   type: string;